Social Policy and Labour Law Journal

dergi kapak
90
-2026-
Primary Language
: TR
  • Sefa Koçyiğit
  • Yeliz Sarıöz Ökten
Does the Increase in Labor Productivity Reflect in Wages? Panel Data Analysis for Selected Countries

ABSTRACT

In mainstream economic theory, a firm aiming for profit maximization demands workers up to the point where the marginal product value of labor equals wages. Up to this point, each additional worker generates a return greater than the wage paid. Based on this, it is assumed that the wage paid to a worker is equal to the marginal productivity of labor. The aim of this study is to analyze whether there is a relationship between wages and productivity as claimed. For this purpose, panel data analysis was conducted for seven countries (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Ireland, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and Norway) from among the ten countries with the highest labor productivity, as announced by the ILO (2025), for which data were available. The analysis, covering the years 1996-2022, examines the relationship between average wage and labor productivity, gross domestic product in local currency, total factor productivity, multifactor productivity, and material productivity. Additionally, LP2 and LP3 were added to the model as independent variables to determine the long-term direction of the relationship between labor productivity and wages. The analysis revealed a positive correlation between labor productivity and average wages; however, negative correlations were found between the square of labor productivity, total factor productivity, multifactor productivity, material productivity and GDP in local currency, and average wages. The study results indicate that productivity increases are not reflected in wages, and policy recommendations have been made based on these findings.
Keywords : Labor Productivity, Average Wage, Total Factor Productivity, Multifactor Productivity, Material Productivity, Panel Data Analysis, Labor and Wage Relationship

EXTENDED SUMMARY

In mainstream theory, the relationship between wages and labor productivity is explained by the marginal productivity theory. According to this theory, wages are determined where they are equal to the marginal product of labor. However, studies in the literature reveal that such a relationship between wages and productivity does not exist. Especially since the 1980s, labor productivity has increased faster than real wages and employment. While there are arguments that the lack of productivity growth reflected in wages stems from technological advances or inequality, the reason for this divergence is embedded in the capitalist mode of production; it can be explained by “surplus value,” defined by Marx as the value produced by the working class and appropriated by the capitalist class without compensation.

The foundations of Marx’s theory of surplus value are based on the labor theory of value, one of the cornerstones of economics. According to Marx, this is the appropriation of a portion of living labor without compensation. With the concept of “surplus value,” produced by the working class and appropriated by the capitalist class without compensation, Marx draws attention to the problem of distribution, a problem entirely absent from classical and neoclassical theory. According to him, in any society where the means of production are concentrated in a certain group, workers must work additional hours to produce not only the necessary labor time required to ensure the survival of the working class but also the means to provide for the livelihood of those who own the means of production.

This study will demonstrate through panel data analysis that despite increases in labor productivity, wage increases have lagged far behind productivity, and that the labor-wage relationship posited by marginalist theory is actually a myth. For this purpose, the relationship between labor productivity (LP), total factor productivity (TFP), multifactor productivity (MP), gross domestic product in local currency (lnLCU), material productivity (MFP) and the average wage (W) will be analyzed using panel data. Numerous studies in the academic literature have demonstrated that increases in labor productivity are not reflected in wages. However, no studies have been found that attempt to determine the direction of the relationship between labor productivity and wages. For this purpose, unlike other studies, LP2 and LP3 were added to the model. Thus, determining the direction of the relationship between wages and labor productivity makes the study original and contributes to the literature. Furthermore, the addition of total factor productivitiy, multifactor productivity and material productivityto the model is crucial for testing the validity of the results obtained from the analysis. Finally, including gross domestic product in local currency in the model is important for testing the validity of the results obtained and drawing attention to the distribution problem.

According to the study’s results, the relationship between labor productivity and wages is positive. This means that increases in labor productivity are reflected in wages to a certain extent. However, the relationship between LP2 and W is negatif, meaning that wages tend to decline as labor productivity increases. Finally, the relationship between LP3 and W was found to be positive, but remained at very low levels of 0.13. This is the most significant evidence that increases in labor productivity are not reflected in wages in the long run. Furthermore, the relationship between total factor productiviy, multifactor productivity and material productivity, added to the model to test the validity of the results, is found to be negative. The negative relationship between productivity and wages is a key indicator that while profit margins increase, wages do not increase. This situation can be explained by wage losses caused by monopolization, the weakening of union power, or the reserve army of the unemployed arising from globalization. The relationship between lnLCU and wages was also found to be negatif, meaning that income increases are not reflected in wages. Consequently, all variables used in the study yielded results that supported each other.

The failure of increased labor productivity to be reflected in wages and the gradual decline in labor’s share of income should be viewed as a social problem and accepted as a structural phenomenon that must be addressed through policy-oriented efforts. In this process, measures such as increasing institutional bargaining power, linking the minimum wage to productivity growth, wage controls, steps to prevent informal employment, tax breaks for labor, prioritizing investments that reduce unemployment and create jobs, and preventing monopolies can minimize the harm to labor in this process.

This study aimed to draw attention to the distribution problem through the labor-wage relationship, using econometric methods, one of the fundamental tools of the mainstream economy. It should be noted that the countries with the highest labor productivity are also developed countries. It is quite striking that even in these countries, the problem of labor share, that is, the distribution problem, remains unresolved. Therefore, it should be remembered that the steps taken based on this study should be global, not specific to individual countries.

Emek Verimliliğindeki Artış Ücretlere Yansıyor mu? Seçili Ülkeler İçin Panel Veri Analizi

ÖZ

Ana akım iktisat teorisinde kâr maksimizasyonu hedefleyen firma, emeğin marjinal ürün değerinin ücrete eşit olduğu düzeye kadar işçi talep eder. Bu düzeye kadar her ilave işçi kendisine ödenen ücretten daha fazla getiriye yol açar. Buradan hareketle işçiye ödenen ücretin emeğin marjinal verimliliğine eşit olduğu düzeyde gerçekleştiği kabul edilir. Bu çalışmanın amacı ücretler ve verimlilik arasında iddia edildiği gibi bir ilişkinin olup olmadığını analiz etmektir. Bu amaçla ILO (2025) tarafından açıklanan emek verimliliği en yüksek on ülke içerisinden analizde kullanılan verileri mevcut olan yedi ülke (Avusturya, Belçika, Danimarka, İrlanda, Lüksemburg, Hollanda ve Norveç) için panel veri analizi yapılmıştır. 1996-2022 yılları arasını kapsayan analizde ortalama ücret ile emek verimliliği, yerel para birimi ile gayri safi yurtiçi hasıla, toplam faktör verimliliği, çoklu faktör verimliliği ve malzeme verimliliği arasındaki ilişki ele alınmıştır. Ayrıca çalışmada emek verimliliği ve ücret arasındaki ilişkinin uzun dönemde yönünü belirlemek adına LP2 ve LP3 de bağımsız değişkenler olarak modele eklenmiştir. Analiz sonucunda emek verimliliği ve ortalama ücret arasında pozitif; emek verimliliğinin karesi, toplam faktör verimliliği, çoklu faktör verimliliği, malzeme verimliliği ve yerel para birimiyle GSYİH ile ortalama ücret arasında ise negatif korelasyon bulunmuştur. Çalışma sonuçlarına göre verimlilik artışlarının ücretlere yansımadığı görülmüş ve elde edilen sonuçlardan hareketle politika önerileri yapılmıştır.
Anahtar Kelimeler : ÖZEmek Verimliliği, Ortalama Ücret, Toplam Faktör Verimliliği, Çoklu Faktör Verimliliği, Malzeme Verimliliği, Panel Veri Analizi, Emek ve Ücret İlişkisi.

Cite This Article

APA
KOÇYİĞİT, S., & SARIÖZ ÖKTEN, Y., & . ( 2026). Does the Increase in Labor Productivity Reflect in Wages? Panel Data Analysis for Selected Countries. Çalışma ve Toplum, 3(90), 1707-1732. https://doi.org/10.54752/ct.1836911